Developments in Time Series Analysis


Author: T. Subba Rao
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 9780412492600
Category: Mathematics
Page: 440
View: 5158

Continue Reading →

This volume contains 27 papers, written by time series analysts, dealing with statistical theory, methodology and applications. The emphasis is on the recent developments in the analysis of linear, onlinear (non-Gaussian), stationary and nonstationary time series. The topics include cointegration, estimation and asymptotic theory, Kalman filtering, nonparametric statistical inference, long memory models, nonlinear models, spectral analysis of stationary and nonstationary processes. Quite a number of papers are devoted to modelling and analysis of real time series, and the econometricians, mathematical statisticians, communications engineers and scientists who use time series techniques and Fourier analysis should find the papers in this volume useful.

Time Series Analysis

Methods and Applications
Author: Tata Subba Rao,Suhasini Subba Rao,Calyampudi Radhakrishna Rao
Publisher: Elsevier
ISBN: 0444538585
Category: Mathematics
Page: 755
View: 2138

Continue Reading →

The field of statistics not only affects all areas of scientific activity, but also many other matters such as public policy. It is branching rapidly into so many different subjects that a series of handbooks is the only way of comprehensively presenting the various aspects of statistical methodology, applications, and recent developments. The Handbook of Statistics is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with Volume 30 dealing with time series. The series is addressed to the entire community of statisticians and scientists in various disciplines who use statistical methodology in their work. At the same time, special emphasis is placed on applications-oriented techniques, with the applied statistician in mind as the primary audience. Comprehensively presents the various aspects of statistical methodology Discusses a wide variety of diverse applications and recent developments Contributors are internationally renowened experts in their respective areas

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example


Author: Søren Bisgaard,Murat Kulahci
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9781118056950
Category: Mathematics
Page: 400
View: 1958

Continue Reading →

An intuition-based approach enables you to master time series analysis with ease Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example provides the fundamental techniques in time series analysis using various examples. By introducing necessary theory through examples that showcase the discussed topics, the authors successfully help readers develop an intuitive understanding of seemingly complicated time series models and their implications. The book presents methodologies for time series analysis in a simplified, example-based approach. Using graphics, the authors discuss each presented example in detail and explain the relevant theory while also focusing on the interpretation of results in data analysis. Following a discussion of why autocorrelation is often observed when data is collected in time, subsequent chapters explore related topics, including: Graphical tools in time series analysis Procedures for developing stationary, non-stationary, and seasonal models How to choose the best time series model Constant term and cancellation of terms in ARIMA models Forecasting using transfer function-noise models The final chapter is dedicated to key topics such as spurious relationships, autocorrelation in regression, and multiple time series. Throughout the book, real-world examples illustrate step-by-step procedures and instructions using statistical software packages such as SAS®, JMP, Minitab, SCA, and R. A related Web site features PowerPoint slides to accompany each chapter as well as the book's data sets. With its extensive use of graphics and examples to explain key concepts, Time Series Analysis and Forecasting by Example is an excellent book for courses on time series analysis at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. it also serves as a valuable resource for practitioners and researchers who carry out data and time series analysis in the fields of engineering, business, and economics.

Time Series Analysis

Univariate and Multivariate Methods
Author: William W. S. Wei
Publisher: Pearson College Division
ISBN: N.A
Category: Mathematics
Page: 614
View: 9328

Continue Reading →

With its broad coverage of methodology, this comprehensive book is a useful learning and reference tool for those in applied sciences where analysis and research of time series is useful. Its plentiful examples show the operational details and purpose of a variety of univariate and multivariate time series methods. Numerous figures, tables and real-life time series data sets illustrate the models and methods useful for analyzing, modeling, and forecasting data collected sequentially in time. The text also offers a balanced treatment between theory and applications. Overview. Fundamental Concepts. Stationary Time Series Models. Nonstationary Time Series Models. Forecasting. Model Identification. Parameter Estimation, Diagnostic Checking, and Model Selection. Seasonal Time Series Models. Testing for a Unit Root. Intervention Analysis and Outlier Detection. Fourier Analysis. Spectral Theory of Stationary Processes. Estimation of the Spectrum. Transfer Function Models. Time Series Regression and GARCH Models. Vector Time Series Models. More on Vector Time Series. State Space Models and the Kalman Filter. Long Memory and Nonlinear Processes. Aggregation and Systematic Sampling in Time Series. For all readers interested in time series analysis.

Time Series Analysis


Author: Henrik Madsen
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 142005967X
Category: Mathematics
Page: 400
View: 7953

Continue Reading →

With a focus on analyzing and modeling linear dynamic systems using statistical methods, Time Series Analysis formulates various linear models, discusses their theoretical characteristics, and explores the connections among stochastic dynamic models. Emphasizing the time domain description, the author presents theorems to highlight the most important results, proofs to clarify some results, and problems to illustrate the use of the results for modeling real-life phenomena. The book first provides the formulas and methods needed to adapt a second-order approach for characterizing random variables as well as introduces regression methods and models, including the general linear model. It subsequently covers linear dynamic deterministic systems, stochastic processes, time domain methods where the autocorrelation function is key to identification, spectral analysis, transfer-function models, and the multivariate linear process. The text also describes state space models and recursive and adaptivemethods. The final chapter examines a host of practical problems, including the predictions of wind power production and the consumption of medicine, a scheduling system for oil delivery, and the adaptive modeling of interest rates. Concentrating on the linear aspect of this subject, Time Series Analysis provides an accessible yet thorough introduction to the methods for modeling linear stochastic systems. It will help you understand the relationship between linear dynamic systems and linear stochastic processes.

Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

With Applications of SAS and SPSS
Author: Robert A. Yaffee,Monnie McGee
Publisher: Academic Press
ISBN: 0127678700
Category: Mathematics
Page: 528
View: 4426

Continue Reading →

Providing a clear explanation of the fundamental theory of time series analysis and forecasting, this book couples theory with applications of two popular statistical packages--SAS and SPSS. The text examines moving average, exponential smoothing, Census X-11 deseasonalization, ARIMA, intervention, transfer function, and autoregressive error models and has brief discussions of ARCH and GARCH models. The book features treatments of forecast improvement with regression and autoregression combination models and model and forecast evaluation, along with a sample size analysis for common time series models to attain adequate statistical power. To enhance the book's value as a teaching tool, the data sets and programs used in the book are made available on the Academic Press Web site. The careful linkage of the theoretical constructs with the practical considerations involved in utilizing the statistical packages makes it easy for the user to properly apply these techniques. Key Features * Describes principal approaches to time series analysis and forecasting * Presents examples from public opinion research, policy analysis, political science, economics, and sociology * Free Web site contains the data used in most chapters, facilitating learning * Math level pitched to general social science usage * Glossary makes the material accessible for readers at all levels

Time Series Analysis

Forecasting and Control
Author: George E. P. Box
Publisher: N.A
ISBN: 9780130607744
Category: Mathematics
Page: 598
View: 7633

Continue Reading →

Stochastic models and their forecasting; Stochastic model building; Transfer function model building; Design of discrete control schemes.

Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods


Author: James Durbin,Siem Jan Koopman
Publisher: OUP Oxford
ISBN: 0191627194
Category: Mathematics
Page: 368
View: 1946

Continue Reading →

This new edition updates Durbin & Koopman's important text on the state space approach to time series analysis. The distinguishing feature of state space time series models is that observations are regarded as made up of distinct components such as trend, seasonal, regression elements and disturbance terms, each of which is modelled separately. The techniques that emerge from this approach are very flexible and are capable of handling a much wider range of problems than the main analytical system currently in use for time series analysis, the Box-Jenkins ARIMA system. Additions to this second edition include the filtering of nonlinear and non-Gaussian series. Part I of the book obtains the mean and variance of the state, of a variable intended to measure the effect of an interaction and of regression coefficients, in terms of the observations. Part II extends the treatment to nonlinear and non-normal models. For these, analytical solutions are not available so methods are based on simulation.

Case Studies in Time Series Analysis


Author: Zhongjie Xie
Publisher: World Scientific
ISBN: 9789810210175
Category: Science
Page: 282
View: 3048

Continue Reading →

This book is a monograph on case studies using time series analysis, which includes the main research works applied to practical projects by the author in the past 15 years. The works cover different problems in broad fields, such as: engineering, labour protection, astronomy, physiology, endocrinology, oil development, etc. The first part of this book introduces some basic knowledge of time series analysis which is necessary for the reader to understand the methods and the theory used in the procedure for solving problems. The second part is the main part of this book ? case studies in different fields.

Advances in Time Series Analysis and Forecasting

Selected Contributions from ITISE 2016
Author: Ignacio Rojas,Héctor Pomares,Olga Valenzuela
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 3319557890
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 414
View: 7339

Continue Reading →

This volume of selected and peer-reviewed contributions on the latest developments in time series analysis and forecasting updates the reader on topics such as analysis of irregularly sampled time series, multi-scale analysis of univariate and multivariate time series, linear and non-linear time series models, advanced time series forecasting methods, applications in time series analysis and forecasting, advanced methods and online learning in time series and high-dimensional and complex/big data time series. The contributions were originally presented at the International Work-Conference on Time Series, ITISE 2016, held in Granada, Spain, June 27-29, 2016. The series of ITISE conferences provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest ideas and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications in the field of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary and multidisciplinary research encompassing the disciplines of computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.

Regression Models for Time Series Analysis


Author: Benjamin Kedem,Konstantinos Fokianos
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0471461687
Category: Mathematics
Page: 360
View: 4179

Continue Reading →

A thorough review of the most current regression methods in timeseries analysis Regression methods have been an integral part of time seriesanalysis for over a century. Recently, new developments have mademajor strides in such areas as non-continuous data where a linearmodel is not appropriate. This book introduces the reader to newerdevelopments and more diverse regression models and methods fortime series analysis. Accessible to anyone who is familiar with the basic modern conceptsof statistical inference, Regression Models for Time SeriesAnalysis provides a much-needed examination of recent statisticaldevelopments. Primary among them is the important class of modelsknown as generalized linear models (GLM) which provides, under someconditions, a unified regression theory suitable for continuous,categorical, and count data. The authors extend GLM methodology systematically to time serieswhere the primary and covariate data are both random andstochastically dependent. They introduce readers to variousregression models developed during the last thirty years or so andsummarize classical and more recent results concerning state spacemodels. To conclude, they present a Bayesian approach to predictionand interpolation in spatial data adapted to time series that maybe short and/or observed irregularly. Real data applications andfurther results are presented throughout by means of chapterproblems and complements. Notably, the book covers: * Important recent developments in Kalman filtering, dynamic GLMs,and state-space modeling * Associated computational issues such as Markov chain, MonteCarlo, and the EM-algorithm * Prediction and interpolation * Stationary processes

Applied Time Series Analysis


Author: Wayne A. Woodward,Henry L. Gray,Alan C Elliott
Publisher: CRC Press
ISBN: 1439897697
Category: Mathematics
Page: 564
View: 3916

Continue Reading →

Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics, closing prices of stocks, the cost of money, the jobless rate, and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested, Applied Time Series Analysis includes examples across a variety of fields, develops theory, and provides software to address time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The authors organize the information in such a format that graduate students in applied science, statistics, and economics can satisfactorily navigate their way through the book while maintaining mathematical rigor. One of the unique features of Applied Time Series Analysis is the associated software, GW-WINKS, designed to help students easily generate realizations from models and explore the associated model and data characteristics. The text explores many important new methodologies that have developed in time series, such as ARCH and GARCH processes, time varying frequencies (TVF), wavelets, and more. Other programs (some written in R and some requiring S-plus) are available on an associated website for performing computations related to the material in the final four chapters.

Elements of Multivariate Time Series Analysis


Author: Gregory C. Reinsel
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 9780387406190
Category: Mathematics
Page: 358
View: 2672

Continue Reading →

This text concentrates on the time-domain analysis of multivariate time series, and assumes a background in univariate time series analysis. It also includes exercise sets and multivariate time series data sets. The book should also be useful to researchers and graduate students in the areas of statistics, econometrics, business, and engineering.

Time Series Analysis and Macroeconometric Modelling

The Collected Papers of Kenneth F. Wallis
Author: Kenneth Frank Wallis
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN: 9781782541622
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 426
View: 8790

Continue Reading →

'An excellent reference volume of this author's work, bringing together articles published over a 25 year span on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large scale macroeconomic modelling and the interface between them.' - Aslib Book Guide This major volume of essays by Kenneth F. Wallis features 28 articles published over a quarter of a century on the statistical analysis of economic time series, large-scale macroeconometric modelling, and the interface between them. The first part deals with time-series econometrics and includes significant early contributions to the development of the LSE tradition in time-series econometrics, which is the dominant British tradition and has considerable influence worldwide. Later sections discuss theoretical and practical issues in modelling seasonality and forecasting with applications in both large-scale and small-scale models. The final section summarizes the research programme of the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau, a unique comparison project among economy-wide macroeconometric models.

Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series Analysis

Volume II: Time Series Analysis In Memory of E.J. Hannan
Author: P.M. Robinson,Murray Rosenblatt
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461224128
Category: Mathematics
Page: 432
View: 8207

Continue Reading →

The Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series in 1995 brought together researchers from across the world. The published papers appear in two volumes. Volume II presents papers on time series analysis, many of which were contributed to a meeting in March 1995 partly in honour of E.J. Hannan. The initial paper by P.M. Robinson discusses Ted Hannan's researches and their influence on current work in time series analysis. Other papers discuss methods for finite parameter Gaussian models, time series with infinite variance or stable marginal distribution, frequency domain methods, long range dependent processes, nonstationary processes, and nonlinear time series. The methods presented can be applied in a number of fields such as statistics, applied mathematics, engineering, economics and ecology. The papers include many of the topics of current interest in time series analysis and will be of interest to a wide range of researchers.

New Directions in Time Series Analysis


Author: David Brillinger,Peter Caines,John Geweke,Emanuel Parzen,Murray Rosenblatt,Murad S. Taqqu
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 1461392969
Category: Mathematics
Page: 382
View: 5338

Continue Reading →

This IMA Volume in Mathematics and its Applications NEW DIRECTIONS IN TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, PART II is based on the proceedings of the IMA summer program "New Directions in Time Series Analysis. " We are grateful to David Brillinger, Peter Caines, John Geweke, Emanuel Parzen, Murray Rosenblatt, and Murad Taqqu for organizing the program and we hope that the remarkable excitement and enthusiasm of the participants in this interdisciplinary effort are communicated to the reader. A vner Friedman Willard Miller, Jr. PREFACE Time Series Analysis is truly an interdisciplinary field because development of its theory and methods requires interaction between the diverse disciplines in which it is applied. To harness its great potential, strong interaction must be encouraged among the diverse community of statisticians and other scientists whose research involves the analysis of time series data. This was the goal of the IMA Workshop on "New Directions in Time Series Analysis. " The workshop was held July 2-July 27, 1990 and was organized by a committee consisting of Emanuel Parzen (chair), David Brillinger, Murray Rosenblatt, Murad S. Taqqu, John Geweke, and Peter Caines. Constant guidance and encouragement was provided by Avner Friedman, Director of the IMA, and his very helpful and efficient staff. The workshops were organized by weeks. It may be of interest to record the themes that were announced in the IMA newsletter describing the workshop: l.

Time Series Analysis


Author: Wilfredo Palma
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118634322
Category: Mathematics
Page: 616
View: 1910

Continue Reading →

A modern and accessible guide to the analysis of introductory time series data Featuring an organized and self-contained guide, Time Series Analysis provides a broad introduction to the most fundamental methodologies and techniques of time series analysis. The book focuses on the treatment of univariate time series by illustrating a number of well-known models such as ARMA and ARIMA. Providing contemporary coverage, the book features several useful and newly-developed techniques such as weak and strong dependence, Bayesian methods, non-Gaussian data, local stationarity, missing values and outliers, and threshold models. Time Series Analysis includes practical applications of time series methods throughout, as well as: Real-world examples and exercise sets that allow readers to practice the presented methods and techniques Numerous detailed analyses of computational aspects related to the implementation of methodologies including algorithm efficiency, arithmetic complexity, and process time End-of-chapter proposed problems and bibliographical notes to deepen readers’ knowledge of the presented material Appendices that contain details on fundamental concepts and select solutions of the problems implemented throughout A companion website with additional data files and computer codes Time Series Analysis is an excellent textbook for undergraduate and beginning graduate-level courses in time series as well as a supplement for students in advanced statistics, mathematics, economics, finance, engineering, and physics. The book is also a useful reference for researchers and practitioners in time series analysis, econometrics, and finance. Wilfredo Palma, PhD, is Professor of Statistics in the Department of Statistics at Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile. Dr. Palma has published several refereed articles and has received over a dozen academic honors and awards. His research interests include time series analysis, prediction theory, state space systems, linear models, and econometrics. He is the author of Long-Memory Time Series: Theory and Methods, also published by Wiley.

Interrupted Time Series Analysis


Author: David McDowall,Richard McCleary,Errol Meidinger,Richard A. Hay, Jr,Professor of Criminology Law & Society and Planning Policy & Design Richard McCleary
Publisher: SAGE
ISBN: 9780803914933
Category: Mathematics
Page: 96
View: 5426

Continue Reading →

Describes ARIMA, or Box-Tiao models, widely used in the analysis of interrupted time series quasi-experiments. Assumes no statistical background beyond simple correlation.Learn more about "The Little Green Book" - QASS Series! Click Here

Time Series Analysis

With Applications in R
Author: Jonathan D. Cryer,Kung-Sik Chan
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 038775959X
Category: Mathematics
Page: 491
View: 636

Continue Reading →

This book has been developed for a one-semester course usually attended by students in statistics, economics, business, engineering, and quantitative social sciences. A unique feature of this edition is its integration with the R computing environment. Basic applied statistics is assumed through multiple regression. Calculus is assumed only to the extent of minimizing sums of squares but a calculus-based introduction to statistics is necessary for a thorough understanding of some of the theory. Actual time series data drawn from various disciplines are used throughout the book to illustrate the methodology.

Time-Series Analysis and Cyclostratigraphy

Examining Stratigraphic Records of Environmental Cycles
Author: Graham P. Weedon
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9781139435178
Category: Science
Page: N.A
View: 2213

Continue Reading →

Increasingly environmental scientists, palaeoceanographers and geologists are collecting quantitative records of environmental changes (time-series) from sediments, ice cores, cave calcite, corals and trees. This book explains how to analyse these records, using straightforward explanations and diagrams rather than formal mathematical derivations. All the main cyclostratigraphic methods are covered including spectral analysis, cross-spectral analysis, filtering, complex demodulation, wavelet and singular spectrum analysis. Practical problems of time-series analysis, including those of distortions of environmental signals during stratigraphic encoding, are considered in detail. Recent research into various types of tidal and climatic cycles is summarised. The book ends with an extensive reference section, and an appendix listing sources of computer algorithms. This book provides the ideal reference for all those using time-series analysis to study the nature and history of climatic and tidal cycles. It is suitable for senior undergraduate and graduate courses in environmental science, palaeoceanography and geology.