Expectations Investing

Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns
Author: Alfred Rappaport,Michael J. Mauboussin,Peter L. Bernstein
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
ISBN: 159139127X
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 224
View: 3295

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Expectations Investing is well worth picking up. -Financial Executive Expectations Investing offers a fundamentally new alternative for identifying value-price gaps, built around a deceptively simple and obvious tool: a company's stock price. The authors walk readers step-by-step through their breakthrough method, revealing how portfolio managers, security analysts, investment advisors, and individual investors can more accurately evaluate established and "new economy" stocks alike-and translate shareholder value from theory to reality. AUTHORBIO: Alfred Rappaport directs Shareholder Value Research for L.E.K. Consulting and is a Professor Emeritus at Northwestern's Kellogg School. Michael J. Mauboussin is Credit Suisse First Boston's Chief U.S. Investment Strategist and an adjunct professor at Columbia University.

Expectations Investing

Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns
Author: Alfred Rappaport,Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN: 1633691527
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 256
View: 4945

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Expectations Investing offers a unique and powerful alternative for identifying value-price gaps. Rappaport and Mauboussin provide everything the reader needs to utilize the discounted cash flow model successfully. And they add an important twist: they suggest that rather than forecasting cash flows, investors should begin by estimating the expectations embedded in a company's stock price. An investor who has a fix on the market's expectations can then assess the likelihood of expectations revisions. To help investors anticipate such revisions, Rappaport and Mauboussin introduce an "expectations infrastructure" framework for tracing the process of value creation from the basic economic forces that shape a company's performance to the resulting impact on sales, costs, and investment. Investors who use Expectations Investing will have a fundamentally new way to evaluate all stocks, setting them on the path to success. Managers will be able to use the book to devise, adjust, and communicate their company's strategy in light of shareholder expectations.

Expectations Investing

Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns
Author: Alfred Rappaport,Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
ISBN: 9781578512522
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 224
View: 3830

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About 75 percent of active investors consistently deliver returns below those of passive index funds. Why? In part, it's because proven methods for valuing assets are too complex to apply-causing investors to rely on commonly used benchmarks such as current earnings and price-earnings multiples that simply don't reflect how the market prices stocks. Now, leading valuation experts Alfred Rappaport and Michael J. Mauboussin argue that the secret to beating the market stands in plain sight. Embedded in the stock price-the most accessible piece of information in the investment arena-lies all investors need to know about how the market expects a company to perform. By correctly decoding that information, say the authors, investors are on the way to anticipating changes in a company's competitive position that the current stock price doesn't reflect-and making informed buy, hold, or sell decisions before the rest of the crowd. This proven approach, expectations investing, holds the potential to change the rules and improve the odds of the stock selection game forever. The beauty of expectations investing is that it harnesses the power of the market's own tried-and-true pricing model-discounted cash flow-without requiring difficult and often dubious long-term forecasting. Highly practical, the book provides a strategic framework and corresponding tools for using price-implied expectations (PIE) to: · Interpret current prices and anticipate revisions in expectations. · Monitor signals from managerial actions such as mergers and acquisitions and share buybacks and estimate their impact on shareholder value. · Devise, adjust, and communicate management strategy in light of shareholder expectations. In addition, a unique expectations infrastructure helps track value creation from the initial triggers that shape performance to the resulting impact on sales, operating profit margins, and investment efficiency. Universally applicable to public companies across the economic landscape, Expectations Investing will enable professional investors, analysts, and executives to translate heightened uncertainty into lucrative opportunity. Alfred Rappaport is the Leonard Spacek Professor Emeritus at Northwestern's Kellogg School and is Shareholder Value Adviser to L.E.K. Consulting. He originated the Shareholder Scoreboard for the Wall Street Journal. He can be contacted at [email protected] Michael J. Mauboussin is a Managing Director and Chief U.S. Investment Strategist at Credit Suisse First Boston. He is also an Adjunct Professor at Columbia Business School. He can be contacted at [email protected] Visit the book's dedicated Web site at: www.expectationsinvesting.com

Investing

The Expectations Game
Author: Kevin Armstrong
Publisher: N.A
ISBN: 9781925265750
Category: Investments
Page: 224
View: 9762

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Over the last 16 years, anyone who has been actively engaged in markets has realized that the supposed "experts" do not understand what drives markets and why they change direction. This book highlights the danger of listening to so-called experts, the inherent risk and cost of complexity, and the very real possibility that whoever you employ to look after your money almost certainly doesn t share your view as to what your investment s single greatest risk is: the permanent loss of capital. This book not only provides answers to these challenges but also provides a solution that can deliver what most investors should be striving for."

The Success Equation

Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing
Author: Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Press
ISBN: 1422184234
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 293
View: 1314

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Examines the importance of skill and luck, describes how to develop analytical tools to understand them, and offers suggestions on putting these findings to work to achieve success.

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing

The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns
Author: John C. Bogle
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470893333
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 240
View: 6971

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“There are a few investment managers, of course, who are very good – though in the short run, it’s difficult to determine whether a great record is due to luck or talent. Most advisors, however, are far better at generating high fees than they are at generating high returns. In truth, their core competence is salesmanship. Rather than listen to their siren songs, investors – large and small – should instead read Jack Bogle’s The Little Book of Common Sense Investing.” – Warren Buffett, Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, 2014 Annual Shareholder Letter. Investing is all about common sense. Owning a diversified portfolio of stocks and holding it for the long term is a winner’s game. Trying to beat the stock market is theoretically a zero-sum game (for every winner, there must be a loser), but after the substantial costs of investing are deducted, it becomes a loser’s game. Common sense tells us—and history confirms—that the simplest and most efficient investment strategy is to buy and hold all of the nation’s publicly held businesses at very low cost. The classic index fund that owns this market portfolio is the only investment that guarantees you with your fair share of stock market returns. To learn how to make index investing work for you, there’s no better mentor than legendary mutual fund industry veteran John C. Bogle. Over the course of his long career, Bogle—founder of the Vanguard Group and creator of the world’s first index mutual fund—has relied primarily on index investing to help Vanguard’s clients build substantial wealth. Now, with The Little Book of Common Sense Investing, he wants to help you do the same. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Little Book of Common Sense Investing will show you how to incorporate this proven investment strategy into your portfolio. It will also change the very way you think about investing. Successful investing is not easy. (It requires discipline and patience.) But it is simple. For it’s all about common sense. With The Little Book of Common Sense Investing as your guide, you’ll discover how to make investing a winner’s game: Why business reality—dividend yields and earnings growth—is more important than market expectations How to overcome the powerful impact of investment costs, taxes, and inflation How the magic of compounding returns is overwhelmed by the tyranny of compounding costs What expert investors and brilliant academics—from Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham to Paul Samuelson and Burton Malkiel—have to say about index investing And much more You’ll also find warnings about investment fads and fashions, including the recent stampede into exchange traded funds and the rise of indexing gimmickry. The real formula for investment success is to own the entire market, while significantly minimizing the costs of financial intermediation. That’s what index investing is all about. And that’s what this book is all about.

Rational Expectations

Asset Allocation for Investing Adults
Author: William J. Bernstein
Publisher: N.A
ISBN: 9780988780323
Category: Asset allocation
Page: 214
View: 4055

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Rational Expectations is a clean sheet of paper in the wonky world of quantitatively based asset allocation aimed at small investors. Continuing the theme of the Investing for Adults series, this full-length finance title is not for beginners, but rather assumes a fair degree of quantitative ability and finance knowledge. If you think you can time the market or pick stocks and mutual fund managers, or even if you think that you can formulate an optimally efficient mean-variance asset allocation with a black box, then learn some basic finance and come back in a few years. On the other hand, if you know your way around risk premiums and standard deviations and know who Irving Fisher and Benjamin Graham were, and if you want to sharpen your asset class skills, you've come to the right place.

More Than You Know

Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places (Updated and Expanded)
Author: Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Columbia University Press
ISBN: 0231143737
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 320
View: 6689

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Since its first publication, Michael J. Mauboussin's popular guide to wise investing has been translated into eight languages and has been named best business book by BusinessWeek and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Now updated to reflect current research and expanded to include new chapters on investment philosophy, psychology, and strategy and science as they pertain to money management, this volume is more than ever the best chance to know more than the average investor. Offering invaluable tools to better understand the concepts of choice and risk, More Than You Know is a unique blend of practical advice and sound theory, sampling from a wide variety of sources and disciplines. Mauboussin builds on the ideas of visionaries, including Warren Buffett and E. O. Wilson, but also finds wisdom in a broad and deep range of fields, such as casino gambling, horse racing, psychology, and evolutionary biology. He analyzes the strategies of poker experts David Sklansky and Puggy Pearson and pinpoints parallels between mate selection in guppies and stock market booms. For this edition, Mauboussin includes fresh thoughts on human cognition, management assessment, game theory, the role of intuition, and the mechanisms driving the market's mood swings, and explains what these topics tell us about smart investing. More Than You Know is written with the professional investor in mind but extends far beyond the world of economics and finance. Mauboussin groups his essays into four parts-Investment Philosophy, Psychology of Investing, Innovation and Competitive Strategy, and Science and Complexity Theory-and he includes substantial references for further reading. A true eye-opener, More Than You Know shows how a multidisciplinary approach that pays close attention to process and the psychology of decision making offers the best chance for long-term financial results.

Think Twice

Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
Author: Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN: 1422155544
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 224
View: 9625

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No matter your field, industry, or specialty, as a leader you make a series of crucial decisions every single day. And the harsh truth is that the majority of decisions—no matter how good the intentions behind them—are mismanaged, resulting in a huge toll on organizations, the people they employ, and even the people they serve. So why is it so hard to make sound decisions? In Think Twice, now in paperback, Michael Mauboussin argues that we often fall victim to simplified mental routines that prevent us from coping with the complex realities inherent in important judgment calls. Yet these cognitive errors are preventable. In this engaging book, Mauboussin shows us how to recognize and avoid common mental missteps. These include misunderstanding cause-and-effect linkages, not considering enough alternative possibilities in making a decision, and relying too much on experts. Through vivid stories, the author presents memorable rules for avoiding each error and explains how to recognize when you should “think twice”—questioning your reasoning and adopting decision-making strategies that are far more effective, even if they seem counterintuitive. Armed with this awareness, you'll soon begin making sounder judgment calls that benefit (rather than hurt) your organization.

Creating Shareholder Value

A Guide for Managers and Investors
Author: Alfred Rappaport
Publisher: Free Press
ISBN: 9780684844107
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 224
View: 6006

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In this substantially revised and updated edition of his 1986 business classic, Creating Shareholder Value, Alfred Rappaport provides managers and investors with the practical tools needed to generate superior returns. The ultimate test of corporate strategy, the only reliable measure, is whether it creates economic value for shareholders. After a decade of downsizings frequently blamed on shareholder value decision making, this book presents a new and indepth assessment of the rationale for shareholder value. Further, Rappaport presents provocative new insights on shareholder value applications to: (1) business planning, (2) performance evaluation, (3) executive compensation, (4) mergers and acquisitions, (5) interpreting stock market signals, and (6) organizational implementation. Readers will be particularly interested in Rappaport's answers to three management performance evaluation questions: (1) What is the most appropriate measure of performance? (2) What is the most appropriate target level of performance? and (3) How should rewards be linked to performance? The recent acquisition of Duracell International by Gillette is analyzed in detail, enabling the reader to understand the critical information needed when assessing the risks and rewards of a merger from both sides of the negotiating table. The shareholder value approach presented here has been widely embraced by publicly traded as well as privately held companies worldwide. Brilliant and incisive, this is the one book that should be required reading for managers and investors who want to stay on the cutting edge of success in a highly competitive global economy.

The Little Book of Value Investing


Author: Christopher H. Browne
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 0470893273
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 208
View: 2933

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There are many ways to make money in today’s market, but the one strategy that has truly proven itself over the years is value investing. Now, with The Little Book of Value Investing, Christopher Browne shows you how to use this wealth-building strategy to successfully buy bargain stocks around the world.

Where Value Hides

A New Way to Uncover Profitable Growth For Your Business
Author: Stuart E. Jackson
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470088821
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 256
View: 661

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Where Value Hides introduces the Strategic Market Positioning theory, which accurately reveals a company’s true health based on factors like market share. SMP helps your business define its markets, measure the real value of those markets, and correct bad assumptions. This book uses real-life examples to explain how to use SMP to directly and positively impact corporate health and profits.

Quantum Investing


Author: Stephen R. Waite
Publisher: Texere Publishing
ISBN: N.A
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 266
View: 2890

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Cites the role of quantum mechanics in the U.S. GDP, arguing for a need to strengthen societal views of economics, finance, and accounting in order to enable sound investment decisions in the twenty-first century. 20,000 first printing.

Angel Investing

The Gust Guide to Making Money and Having Fun Investing in Startups
Author: David S. Rose
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1118901215
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 304
View: 3597

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Achieve annual returns of 25% or more with a well-designed angel portfolio Written by David S. Rose, the founder of Gust—the global platform that powers the world of organized professional angel investing—Angel Investing is a comprehensive, entertaining guide that walks readers through every step of the way to becoming a successful angel investor. It is illustrated with stories from among the 90+ companies in which David has invested during a 25 year career as one of the world’s most active business angels and includes instructions on how to get started, how to find and evaluate opportunities, and how to pursue and structure investments to maximize your returns. From building your reputation as a smart investor, to negotiating fair deals, adding value to your portfolio companies and helping them implement smart exit strategies, David provides both the fundamental strategies and the specific tools you need to take full advantage of this rapidly growing asset class. He details the advantages of joining an angel group, explains how seed and venture funds can help leverage an investor’s resources, and reveals how recent regulatory changes and new online platforms are making startup investing accessible to millions of Americans. Making money is no longer about sitting back and reading stock listings, David says. It is now about being part owner of an exciting startup that can be fun and financially rewarding. Angel Investing teaches investors how to carefully select and manage investments, establish a long term view, and approach angel investing as a serious part of an alternative asset portfolio while also enjoying being an integral part of an exciting new venture.

The Little Book of Common Sense Investing

The Only Way to Guarantee Your Fair Share of Stock Market Returns
Author: John C. Bogle
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119404509
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 304
View: 6860

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"The Little Book of Common Sense Investing is the classic guide to getting smart about the market. Legendary mutual fund pioneer John C. Bogle reveals his key to getting more out of investing: low-cost index funds. Bogle describes the simplest and most effective investment strategy for building wealth over the long term: buy and hold, at very low cost, a mutual fund that tracks a broad stock market Index such as the S&P 500. While the stock market has tumbled and then soared since the first edition of Little Book of Common Sense was published in April 2007, Bogle's investment principles have endured and served investors well. This tenth anniversary edition includes updated data and new information but maintains the same long-term perspective as in its predecessor. Bogle has also added two new chapters designed to provide further guidance to investors: one on asset allocation, the other on retirement investing."--Dust jacket.

The Great Depression: A Diary


Author: Benjamin Roth
Publisher: PublicAffairs
ISBN: 1586488376
Category: History
Page: 288
View: 4620

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When the stock market crashed in 1929, Benjamin Roth was a young lawyer in Youngstown, Ohio. After he began to grasp the magnitude of what had happened to American economic life, he decided to set down his impressions in his diary. This collection of those entries reveals another side of the Great Depression—one lived through by ordinary, middle-class Americans, who on a daily basis grappled with a swiftly changing economy coupled with anxiety about the unknown future. Roth's depiction of life in time of widespread foreclosures, a schizophrenic stock market, political unrest and mass unemployment seem to speak directly to readers today.

Value Investing Today


Author: Charles Brandes
Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN: 9780071436281
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 208
View: 8859

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Updated data and insights to help value investors address the realities of today's markets On the heels of recent stock market tumbles and deceptions, value investing--the staple of investing greats from Benjamin Graham to Warren Buffett--has roared back into the spotlight. Value Investing Today returns with a new edition, filled with updated information and advice to give investors the skills and knowledge to become successful value investors. Broader in scope than previous editions, this third edition offers fresh lessons investors can use to uncover stocks that are, for whatever reason, underpriced in relation to their value. Updates to this edition include: New chapters on the psychology of investing and corporate governance Expanded discussions on the importance of margin of safety Increased correlations among world markets, and how to capitalize on them

Style Investing

Unique Insight Into Equity Management
Author: Richard Bernstein
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780471035701
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 238
View: 7682

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This book helps portfolio managers, pension consultants, and investors understand the factors that affect the performance of equity market segments. Richard Bernstein, the acknowledged leader in market segmentation and style investment research, defines numerous market segments and examines how each is affected by a combination of macroeconomic, microeconomic, and expectational factors. He explains the conditions under which various investment styles will and won't work and analyzes each style strategy according to its historical performance in both economical and expectational contexts. He then goes on to discuss the practical implications of these findings for institutional investors - especially pension plan sponsors - and explains the use of equity derivatives.

The Harriman House Book of Investing Rules

Collected wisdom from the world's top 150 investors
Author: Philip Jenks,Stephen Eckett
Publisher: Harriman House Limited
ISBN: 0857191136
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 500
View: 3389

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For the first time, the tactics, strategies and insights relied on by 150 of the world's most respected financial experts are revealed in a concise, digestible form. Learn how you really make money in the markets from: - fund managers of billion-pound equity funds - traders in the options and futures markets - industry-rated analysts - economists from top business schools - writers on leading financial newspapers Each provides focused and practical rules on how to succeed in the market. Often counter-intuitive, their rules tell you exactly what to do and what not to do. No padding; just a rock-hard list of do's and don'ts. The contributors to this book are the elite of investing. They consistently beat the market because they know which shares to buy, at what price, and when. And, just as importantly, they know when to sell. Never before has so much quality advice been packed into a single book. If you want to increase your wealth through investing, this is an unmissable opportunity to acquire knowledge and skills from the best in the world.

How to Invest Your Time Like Money


Author: Elizabeth Grace Saunders
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
ISBN: 163369061X
Category: Business & Economics
Page: 75
View: 1395

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How to Invest Your Time Like Money is a concise, practical guide to get you out of time debt. Unlike others, who create the false hope that if only you worked harder, faster, longer, and smarter, you could do everything you want and make everyone happy, time coach Elizabeth Grace Saunders introduces a process to better manage your limited time so you can focus on what’s important. Her method will help you avoid letting everyday pressures and demands get in the way. Using proven techniques and exercises based on the principles of personal finance, readers will learn to identify their time debt, create a balanced budget, build a base schedule, maximize their time ROI, and identify a process to get back on track—and stay there.